Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. The data behind that evolution is striking. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. This is the final episode. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. Dive in and Share your insights! New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". It's a big election week for liberal democracies. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. heritage commons university of utah. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. 01:00 PM. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. Happy holidays! Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. . In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. It's a busy week! In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. Accuracy is not guaranteed. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! You can't imitate a worldview. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." No products in the cart. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. 9 days ago. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. The Supreme Court Not So Much. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. This is the first episode. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. Rev. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. 0:00:00 security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts . In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. 266, the . If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. March 1, 2023 6:30am by Barry Ritholtz. By May 21, 2021 0 . As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. 01:06 PM. Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party.
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