It is not a red state. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue -- or something in between? A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. ", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State", https://web.archive.org/web/20061122124004/http://www.princeton.edu/~petehill/time-election-map-1996.jpg, "Those Special Election Bells, Whistles and, Yes, Some Numbers, Too", "A Divided Government Remains, and With It the Prospect of Further Combat", "Learn the signs of your political colors", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State Page 2 New York Times", "Rules and Principles of Scientific Data Visualization", "Keynote Address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention", "Maps and cartograms of the 2004 U.S. presidential election results", "We Are All Purple: The Destructive Lie of Red States and Blue States", "Cartographic variations on the presidential election 2000 theme", "For a Conservative, Life Is Sweet in Sugar Land, Tex", "Electorally competitive counties have grown scarcer in recent decades", "The Divide Between Red and Blue America Grew Even Deeper in 2016", "For Most Americans, the Local Presidential Vote Was a Landslide", "Are close presidential elections the new normal? Data: The Princeton Gerrymandering Project through 2018; 270toWin research. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. [10][13], According to another source, in 1976, John Chancellor, the anchorman for NBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. [19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters Elaine Kamarck Thursday, September 30, 2021 FixGov After a COVID-19-related delay in getting out the census data, states across the country are now. Dec. 10, 2020. [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. The demographic and political applications of the terms have resulted in a temptation to presume this arbitrary classification is a definite and fundamental cultural division. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. This is most evident in the Southern United States, where the state Democratic Party organizations tend to be more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. You have to beware with these reports, though. DeSantis: Standing Up to Corporate Activism. During Biden's final stop in the state yesterday at a drive-in rally in Pittsburgh, following his barnstorm of the state with his running mate Kamala Harris and their spouses, he said for the zillionth time that he doesn't want to banfracking. 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. A new, lower flat income tax rate will take effect in 2023. Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. Update on Election Day in Philadelphia from the DA's office here: "As of 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 68 incidents were reported to the Election Task Force and 67 incidents were peacefully resolved. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? Idaho. Experts weigh in on swing-state status. After flipping red as a key swing state for President Donald Trump in 2016, former Vice President Joe Biden claimed Wisconsin's electoral votes today in what is being called one of the most important elections of a lifetime.. Wisconsin was a battleground state in the 2020 presidential election, and its 10 electoral votes were highly sought after by both candidates due to Wisconsin's . All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. Trump's New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020. As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. By Allan James Vestal, Andrew Briz, Annette Choi, Beatrice Jin, Andrew McGill and Lily Mihalik. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. It delivered a big margin for Clinton in2016. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%.While still an important prize, with 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, like many industrial northern states, has seen population migrate away in recent decades. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. In fact, he said, some states may experience a "red shift," and even Pennsylvania's blue shift may change in the future as different voters adapt to the new absentee ballot system and counties that used to process them on election night stop doing so. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. The state had an additional redistricting before 2018. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. PTFCA Indoor State Championship by Don & Gayle Rich Feb 26, 2023 WATCH: Eighth Grader Sophia Rodriguez runs 9:43 3K Mar 3, 2023 Drew Griffith runs the third-fastest Mile in PA History Mar 1, 2023 So he has a little cushion there to workwith. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his.
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