Alberta’s deficit is on track to hit $24.2 billion in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic’s economic fallout coupled with a crash in oil prices, the UCP government announced Thursday in … The fiscal update tabled in Alberta’s legislature Thursday shows Alberta’s net debt is now expected to jump by 40 per cent, or $26.7 billion, to reach $66.9 billion by March 31, 2021. This is, by far, the largest deficit Alberta has seen since at least 1981–1982, which is … The other years have all seen surpluses.

This material is not intended to be relied upon as investment advice or recommendations, does not constitute a solicitation to buy or sell securities and should not be considered specific legal, investment or tax advice. Not even close. The debt and GDP are given as of the end of the third quarter, specifically Sept. 30, of each year.

The government said the pandemic took a negative toll on business investment, oil production and consumer spending. Alberta’s decades-long deficit will not be balanced. They too promised to balance the budget without spending cuts; they just didn’t put any hard date on it (spoiler: never). If swallowed by the media – most being financially illiterate, tend to trust government numbers – this will give the Tories a convenient excuse come election time in 2023, if they have not kept their key promise to balance the budget. Peter Munk Centre for Free Enterprise Education. As an Albertan, it is becoming increasingly clear by the day that our best interests will not be upheld by way of Ottawa. Kenney's government has so far been reluctant to deal with the revenue side of the equation, preferring to focus on spending restraints. The sharp swing in oil prices over the past month further highlights the province’s longer-term challenge of scaling back its reliance on resource revenues. Postmedia is committed to maintaining a lively but civil forum for discussion and encourage all readers to share their views on our articles. We apologize, but this video has failed to load.

Spending for this year is projected to hit $62.6 billion, up from about $57.3 billion in previous estimates. The unreasonable and unworkable restrictions that have been imposed on Alberta’s energy sector bears resemblance to the serfdom that was once imposed on most Western farmers. The other years have all seen surpluses. “We need to deliver the most cost-effective government services possible,” Toews said. Almost 50-50 in the latest poll conducted for the Western Standard. The premier’s answer seemed to defy the words of a person that swore to fight for Alberta’s right to self-determination with Ottawa, “No, I am a proud Canadian. Needless to say, Alberta’s government revenues and spending have come a long way from the 1960s. Now estimated at $7.5 billion, the FY 2019-20 deficit is around $1.2 billion lower than that shown in Budget 2019. The province said the global shutdown “cratered” oil demand and prices, while Alberta’s production was already limited due to a lack of capacity. There's money to hire 300 more police officers and create 14,000 child-care spaces. The NDP closed the fiscal year of 2018 with a deficit north of $8 billion. Operating spending is now expected to shrink by 1.7% next year and a cumulative 2.5% over the three-year forecast horizon (0.8% on average). This isn’t just a new record deficit. A welcome email is on its way. I am a patriot.” When a person enters the world of public office, it’s not unreasonable to expect their patriotism to reflect the office they hold. When were Albertans allowed to vote on this issue? "So it is appropriate for us to be borrowing right now during a crisis situation like this.

Oil demand is already being significantly impacted in Q1.

dfildebrandt@westernstandardonline.com, Winnipeggers asked to snitch out COVID scofflaws, UPDATED: UCP’s Barnes splits from party to support NDP right to debate independence motion, FILDEBRANDT: Cutting independence debate short serves neither side well, “The whole show may have been politics and NDP mischief-making, but it is a very serious issue that deserves its day of debate in the legislature. She said the government's corporate tax cuts didn't create jobs even before the pandemic.

And to a large extend, that’s fair. For Albertans, our lords are elected, normally by people very far away from here.

health levy in Alberta, that would be about $2.3 billion (in revenue) per year. The Alberta government followed the lead of Ottawa and the other provinces, throwing the already teetering economy into a tailspin. Domestically, the government’s assumptions on pipeline completions are unchanged from October’s budget, with an expectation of added capacity in early 2021 (Line 3), followed by more capacity in late 2022 and early 2023 (TransMountain and Keystone XL). Funding of front-line core services remains unchanged. It’s twice the size of the previous record, set by Rachel Notley in 2016. Unauthorized distribution, transmission or republication strictly prohibited. We ask you to keep your comments relevant and respectful. Please try again. Alberta government revenues since the 1960s have only just kept pace with expenditures, with each growing an average of 10 per cent annually (unadjusted for inflation) with the largest annual per cent increases occurring during the boom of the 1970s. There is not question that money is being spent but, in Alberta, it’s not being spent on you,” Phillips said.

Figure 2 plots Alberta deficits and surplus since 1965-66 and reveals that over these 50 years of provincial budgets, Alberta has run a deficit 23 times—or 46 per cent of the time. But those who understand the numbers from the government’s 2019 budget, know that they weren’t going to get to balance on time anyway. Box 500 Station A Toronto, ON Canada, M5W 1E6.

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The government’s sensitivity analysis shows a $355 million impact on balances for every $1 change in the average WTI price, highlighting the downside risk to even a minor change in prices. For the current budget year (2020–21), Alberta has a deficit of $24.159 billion, the second largest deficit in the country, superseded by only Ontario, who is carrying $38.538 billion in deficit this year. We reserve the right to close comments at any time. . The government is benefitting from an improved starting point. Comments on this story are moderated according to our Submission Guidelines.

“Nearly all of government’s revenue streams have been negatively impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic and the global oil price crash, with total revenue forecast to be $38.4 billion, $11.5 billion lower than estimated,” Alberta Finance Minister Travis Toews said in the province’s Legislature on Thursday. Visit our Community Guidelines for more information and details on how to adjust your email settings.

The latter was supported by a near $1 billion increase in investment income from the Heritage Fund. Alberta on track to historic $24.2B deficit thanks to pandemic, oil price slump. Over the period 1965 to 2015, natural resource revenues as a share of provincial government revenues averaged 28 per cent—but they have varied from as high as 50 per cent (in 1980-81) and as low as 12 per cent (in 1999-00).

© 2020 Fraser Institute.

He said the UCP’s plan to bring Alberta’s spending in line with B.C., Ontario and Quebec would no longer be sufficient to balance the books by 2022. Meanwhile, revenue growth is anticipated to drop in the first year before bouncing back over the final two years. Revenue is projected to drop $11.5 billion over the course of the current fiscal year. A friend of mine had three people commit suicide. “We could think about introducing a health levy. The views and opinions expressed may change at any time based on market or other conditions and may not come to pass. “At a time like this, at a time of great economic challenge for so many Albertans and Alberta businesses, to look at raising the costs . The Alberta government provided an additional $500 million in health-care funding in response to the pandemic, with COVID-19 operating expense initiatives totalling $3.9 billion.

Alberta would instead be on track to face a deficit of around $8 billion that year. Other revenue sources include increases in gasoline, alcohol and cigarette taxes, or even health-care levies. Derek Fildebrandt is Publisher of the Western Standard and President of Wildrose Media Corp. dfildebrandt@westernstandardonline.com, ROYER: The Liberal brand makes them impervious to obvious corruption in their ranks, GEROW: Lockdowns kill more people than COVID, Derek Fildebrandt is Publisher of the Western Standard and President of Wildrose Media Corp. Fact Summary ! By contrast, Saskatchewan also released a fiscal update Thursday showing a $2.1 billion deficit for the fiscal year, which amounts to 2.9 per cent of that province’s GDP.



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